Denis Shapovalov vs Pedro Martinez Portero Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Shapovalov has recently won 46.35% of points on his second serve compared to Portero's 42.31%. Could this be a decisive edge? It suggests Shapovalov is slightly stronger in this aspect.
• In return games, Portero has the upper hand with a 45.82% win rate on opponents' second serves, just surpassing Shapovalov's 43.87%.
• Regarding first serve returns, Portero also leads with 28.34%, while Shapovalov holds at 25.02%.
• Under pressure, both players are nearly equal, with Shapovalov saving 53.21% of breakpoints and Portero saving 53.19%.
• Performance over the past year shows Shapovalov winning 62.71% of matches, significantly higher than Portero's 39.66% success rate.
• Shapovalov excels on indoor hard courts with a 62% win rate, while Portero performs best on clay, winning 64% of his matches.
• On the main tour, Shapovalov has a relatively impressive win rate of 73.33%, while Portero's stands at 41.94%.
• Head-to-head, Shapovalov leads 1-0, having won their only previous encounter in straight sets.
• Shapovalov has faced slightly stronger competition, with opponents averaging a rank of 89.73 compared to Portero's 91.79.
• If the match reaches a deciding set, Shapovalov's 62% win rate in such situations provides a potential advantage over Portero's 47%.
• Both players have converted around 29% of breakpoints recently, indicating a potential area of focus during the match.

Editorial Prediction (May 26, 2025, UTC):

As we look ahead to the upcoming match, Shapovalov's slight edges in second serve points won and overall match performance in the last year suggest he may have the upper hand.

Portero, however, is not far behind, especially when it comes to first serve returns and return games, where he has demonstrated stronger recent performance.

Considering their previous head-to-head encounter, which Shapovalov won on clay, he appears to have a psychological advantage.

Given Shapovalov's solid track record in deciding sets and overall superior match win rate on the main tour, he is likely the favorite heading into this match.

Based on these observations, Shapovalov stands as the likely winner for this tennis encounter.